FC Porto vs FC Famalicão – Value Bet Analysis

Date: Friday, April 18, 2025
Kick-off: 17:00 UTC
Venue: Estádio do Dragão, Porto

Betting Odds

FC Porto to Win: 1.48 (Implied Probability: ~68%)
Draw: 4.33
Famalicão to Win: 6.90

Historical Head-to-Head

In their last 14 meetings:

FC Porto Wins: 10
Draws: 2
Famalicão Wins: 2
Average Goals per Match: 3.71

Current League Standings

FC Porto

Position: 4th

Points: 59

Wins: 18

Draws: 5

Losses: 6

Goal Difference: +30

Famalicão

Position: 7th

Points: 43

Wins: 11

Draws: 10

Losses: 8

Goal Difference: +7

Form Guide

FC Porto (Last 5)

W – L – W – W – L

Famalicão (Last 5)

W – W – L – W – W

Statistical Comparison

Goals Scored

FC Porto: 55

Famalicão: 38

Goals Conceded

FC Porto: 25

Famalicão: 31

Home Wins

FC Porto: 10

Away Wins

Famalicão: 5

Analysis

FC Porto has a strong historical advantage over Famalicão, with 10 wins in their last 14 encounters. Their home form is impressive, boasting 10 wins out of 14 matches at Estádio do Dragão this season. Famalicão, while performing well recently, has a less favorable away record.

Value Bet Insight: The implied probability from the odds suggests a 68% chance of a Porto win. However, considering their historical dominance and current form, the actual probability may be closer to 75–77%. This discrepancy indicates a potential value bet on FC Porto to win at odds of 1.48.

Tipster’s Recommendation

Bet: FC Porto to Win
Odds: 1.48
Value Assessment: Yes – the odds underestimate FC Porto’s likelihood of victory

Value Bet Alert – FC Porto vs FC Famalicão