Todays Value Horse Racing Tips – Thursday 18th September
🐎 Pick #1: Aeolian (3:15 Ayr)
🏆 Recent form: Aeolian has won at Newmarket over 1m2f on soft‑ground recently, showing she handles the cut and the trip well. She was then tried in a Listed race at York over longer and on faster ground and didn’t shine — the drop in trip and return to softer underfoot should suit nicely. GG.co.uk+3Sky Sports+3Sporting Life+3
📍 Course record: No record mentioned yet at Ayr, but her drive to step down in trip shows the connections believe she’s better over a mile‑and‑a‑quarter/soft‑ground work. (So, no course form yet, but plenty of promise.) Sporting Life+2Sky Sports+2
👨🏫 Trainer form: Trained by William Haggas — very classy yard; he has a solid strike rate, especially with fillies stepping up in trip/returning to handicaps. Also, reports tag this as a “nap” suggestion, so confidence in the stable is high. The Sun+2Sky Sports+2
🔥 Big chance today!
🐎 Pick #2: Vince L’Amour (2:15 Ayr)
🏆 Recent form: Last run at Haydock (5 Sep) was solid, finishing third. He’s had some wins in the past, though not lately — but form is consistent enough to suggest he can be in the mix. Irish Racing+2Sky Sports+2
📍 Course record: No noted wins at Ayr specifically, but trips and conditions he’s performed under suggest he’s used to similar tracks. (Again, course form missing but seems adaptable.) Sporting Life+1
👨🏫 Trainer form: Trained by Tim Easterby — a trainer with a good record especially with sprinters / fast distances, and always dangerous when conditions suit. Catching him on a good day is smart. Sky Sports+1
🔥 Big chance today!
🐎 Pick #3: Redarna (4:15 Ayr)
🏆 Recent form: At age 11, Redarna has a lot of runs, with 16 wins from varied distances (7f‑1m) and across different ground. While recent starts maybe not winning, he has shown he’s in those with decent performances. At The Races+2Sky Sports+2
📍 Course record: He has previously won at Ayr (last win at Ayr was Oct last year) — that means he handles the course, knows the way round. Irish Racing
👨🏫 Trainer form: Trained by Mrs Dianne Sayer — a stable that often gets good value from horses with experience and steadier form into late years. Redarna’s veteran status + course ability make him dangerous. Sky Sports+2Timeform+2
🔥 Big chance today!
🐎 Pick #4: Adjuvant (4:32 Yarmouth)
🏆 Recent form: Hasn’t won since 2023, but he ran well on return from a layoff at Goodwood (12f) and then had a creditable run when eased in class/race last time. He was 10th in a strong handicap at Haydock but drops to a less demanding assignment now. Sporting Life+2Timeform+2
📍 Course record: No major standout course wins noted here, but this is his kind of race (a staying handicap, a small field) where experience can tell. Also conditions possibly softer could help. Racing TV+1
👨🏫 Trainer form: Trained by M L W Bell — solid trainer, especially with stayers and horses stepping into more favourable conditions; good strike‑rate overall, and look at the Smart Stats: Adjuvant has generated over £110,000 in prize money at Yarmouth in recent meetings. At The Races+1
🔥 Big chance today!
🐎 Pick #5: El Burhan (2:45 Ayr)
🏆 Recent form: El Burhan won at Chester in May, showing he can deliver. He’s run in good company since, including strong handicaps / Class 2 races, so form, while mixed, includes credible efforts. Sky Sports+1
📍 Course record: No specific previous wins at Ayr are noted, but his connections clearly feel he is capable stepping up at this level & track. He’s proven over ~1m‑1¼ which matches this race well. Racenet+1
👨🏫 Trainer form: George Boughey is a high‑quality trainer, especially with 3‑yos stepping up; when Boughey’s horses are fit, they tend to run well. El Burhan’s recent campaign suggests he’s ready to fire again. Sky Sports+1
🔥 Big chance today!
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